Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000007 0.000008 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000012 0.000013
2025-02-09 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013 0.000016
2025-02-16 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015 0.000020
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000017 0.000024
2025-03-02 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000027
2025-03-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000020 0.000032
2025-03-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000022 0.000037
2025-03-23 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000025 0.000044
2025-03-30 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000026 0.000049
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000028 0.000057
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000016 0.000029 0.000063
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000016 0.000032 0.000072
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000036 0.000088
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000039 0.000103
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000043 0.000122
2025-05-18 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000020 0.000047 0.000142
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000020 0.000050 0.000160
2025-06-01 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000053 0.000182
2025-06-08 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000058 0.000212
2025-06-15 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000063 0.000251
2025-06-22 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000066 0.000278
2025-06-29 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000023 0.000070 0.000317
2025-07-06 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000023 0.000073 0.000348